By Tova O'Brien
New Zealand First party is being intentionally evasive about how its MPs plan to vote on a bill legalising same-sex marriage.
The party wants a referendum held on the issue. But even without its votes, the bill looks likely to pass its first reading.
New Zealand First didn't even exist in the last Parliament. Now it holds a crucial share of the vote.
But when it comes to legalising same-sex marriage, party leader Winston Peters says Parliament is not democratic enough to decide.
“We will not be voting for this bill,” says Mr Peters. “We'll be arguing for a referendum.”
But abstain or vote against, he wouldn't say.
“We're not voting for it.”
A 3 News straw poll of all MPs shows the bill is likely to pass its first hurdle.
Forty-four MPs say they'll vote in full favour of the bill, 14 will support it at least through the first reading, six will vote against it, 34 are undecided, 15 didn't respond - and then there are the eight New Zealand First phantom votes.
Prime Minster John Key has reasserted his support for the bill beyond the first reading.
“I haven't heard anything that would stop me voting for it further on,” he says.
But that won't stop many of his MPs voting “no” outright.
National MP Eric Roy says he will not be supporting the bill.
“I'm uncomfortable with the bill at the moment,” says National MP Simon O’Connor.
“What my wife and I have enjoyed over 42 years I don't think anyone of the same sex could enjoy,” says National MP Colin King.
“My faith-based view is that marriage is between a man and a woman,” says National MP Chester Borrows.
National MP Phil Heatley will be voting against the bill as well, for what he says are “personal reasons”.
Then there's the "won't say and walk away" category.
“I'll give due consideration in due course,” says Steven Joyce. When asked his personal views on gay marriage, Mr Joyce walked away from the interview.
“I haven't even thought about it I must confess, sorry,” says National MP Anne Tolley.
This method is also popular with some in the Labour Party.
“I haven't looked at the bill yet,” says Labour MP Clayton Cosgrove. “[I’m] trying to save the people's assets through SOEs.”
The 3 News straw poll shows the bill has the momentum to get through the first reading and possibly further.
However, take the determined voting-against-its, all the undecideds and the New Zealand First factor, and the final vote will be close.
3 News