Humiliating backdown, but damage done

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Thu, 07 Jun 2012 4:40p.m.

Hekia Parata at today's press conference

Hekia Parata at today's press conference

By Political Editor Duncan Garner

Hekia Parata was sporting a new haircut as she backed down on her controversial move to make class sizes bigger - but it couldn't disguise the complete humiliation.

The backdown was the only option. And not even the Government was trying to spin it as anything else. Good on them for that. And it's clear John Key told Parata from Europe to cut the Government's losses. But the praise stops there.

Hook, line and sinker - the Government's collective gonads have been squeezed and cut off by middle New Zealand for this woeful misjudgment.

Cautious mum and dad voters, that Key has spent four years carefully wooing back after years of mistrust with the two main parties, were leading the march with the teachers and the kids.

And for the hopelessly small sum of saving $43m a year, his Government has scared so many of them off.

Whether they return, who knows?

But the feedback I've had is that National got this so very wrong.

They struck at the heart of the frontline they promised so many times not to touch. And they messed with the frontline that really counts - the classrooms where our young teenagers learn how to cook and bang nails.

Collectively the Cabinet's eyes were off the ball. It's because in term two - National has become cocky and in some ways arrogant. They thought they could get away with a host of what appeared to be small across the board cuts that meant not a hell of a lot. But they were found out. They were too lazy and incompetent to do the hard work before the Budget.

So what now? Parata's credibility is in tatters. Bill English and Key also need to share the load of responsibility. They run the show.

And what about the Government's $197m surplus it's promising in 2014/15. Now these savings of more than $100m over four years are to be ditched - is the surplus more vulnerable?

You'd have to say so.

But I tell you what's more vulnerable - National's grip on power.

They stepped into the ring with middle New Zealand and got knocked out.

They stumbled around for two weeks - before the final blow today.

And many of those mums and dads will not return to National.

That will hurt in 2014.

Key needs to re-establish trust with the electorate all over again.

It makes Michael Cullen's back down on the chewing gum tax cuts seven years ago look miniscule.

What a price to pay for Key, English and National. 

So credit for backing down.

And credit for not spinning it.

But trust and credibility is hard to gain and harder to keep in politics. 

It's called political capital. And Key and National just spent a pile of it.

The damage has been done.

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Comments

5/09/2012 10:37:33 a.m.

Takere wrote:

Well it was the stupid middle class that put this incompetent government back in! He's failed to deliver on any of his promises and continues to blame the GFC for doing nothing. He run up more than $143b of debt in less than 4 years! Wakey wakey middle class, he's a flake!

15/08/2012 3:40:07 p.m.

Richard wrote:

This won't affect National. Unlike comrade Helen's lot, National is prepared to acknowledge protest and back down. Did you ever hear anyone from Helen's team ever say sorry?

30/06/2012 6:34:55 p.m.

paulie wrote:

This is actually no real surprise, in most western economies in the past 30yrs we've seen a vast redistribution of resources and govt support to the middle classes (engineered house price inflation, lack of capital gains tax etc..) all of which means they are the real reciepients of govt subsidies. They will make sure they hang onto these advantages and as they actually vote they will have the power to do so, until the poor get out and vote their opinions and problems are meaningless to all governments, so if you don't vote shut your whining, if you do as a group then someone will want to buy your votes(and it has to be a block of votes to be worth buying). My advice to Grey Power would be to follow the other advocates of identity politics, and advise their members to vote as a block for whichever party gaurantees, hey forget that, increases pensions. Then they'll get somewhere but the organisation needs to get off the fence, follow the Maori Partys' example---forget your ideology and just ask polititians 'show us the money, fuck you show us the money' it works for the alleged 'middle NZ'.

28/06/2012 12:26:32 p.m.

Sally T wrote:

I certainly agree with your comments, and also that the National govt has become arrogant and cocky. You can see it in their expressions when they're interviewed. They think that they can keep pushing NZ'ers, even though it's hurting the 'already hurt', but it will hurt this government in the end..

19/06/2012 1:32:33 p.m.

Joronda wrote:

Lincoln College took over a farm in Canterbury in the 1960's and hoped to use all their skills to turn it into a success story - but the day came when they had to publicly acknowledge that all their university academic skills could do no better than the previous farming owners because "the droughts were the Boss".

Unless we try new things in education, we will have to keep building more prisons.

Hekia Parata had the guts to say that she had listened to the parents, and was prepared to look at alternative ideas.

Ruth Richardson cut the dole by $20 per week, but it did not force anyone to find a job.

Unemployed people need mentoring, because they don't know how to find a job or hold onto one. Someone needs to explain how a Boss thinks, so there can be an alignment of minds for a win-win.

Most successful people in life also need a mentor to point them in the right direction.

The Law society supports Lawyers, The Accountants Society supports Accountants - but who supports unemployed (other than Winz)?

Our schooling system teaches kids to become dependent on a job, rather than how to get a business started to employ themesleves and their friends.

All jobs were created by someone who was unemployed and decided to go into business. There were big risks, but persistence enabled them to grow the business and start employing others without a job.

19/06/2012 12:22:58 p.m.

Jaronda wrote:

NZ has employed 6,000 extra teachers in the last 10 years, and 1 child in 5 still leaves school without qualifications. Why? Surely, it is not a genetic thing.

I accept that Teachers have a growing range of nationalities in their classrooms, but a prominent Magistrate said recently that 90% of people in prison do not have sufficient education to hold down a job outside of a life of crime.

So unless Teachers are prepared to accept changes, crime will continue as first choice for children who are not coping at school.

The Police Force is the ambulance to cart away kids to prison that fail to pass their exams.

Putting more money into Education has not lifted standards, otherwise money could be taken off the Police Force and put into Education to improve public safety.

Teachers who are struggling in their role need mentoring from retired Teachers to "pass on how they managed".

19/06/2012 8:56:45 a.m.

Mike wrote:

on breakfast this morning, key stated that russel norman didn't know what he was talking about then preceeded to show his level of ignorance by not knowing the difference between facebook and trademe.

19/06/2012 1:34:39 a.m.

Joronda wrote:

The average Kiwi doesn't care much for embellished allegations the media throw up round about the time each new Poll comes up.

Kiwis are more interested in whether the bills are paid and the kids have enough food.

NZ has had 3 major earthquakes - two physical ones in Christchurch and an economic earthquake that has been vibrating for 4 years in the Northern Hemisphere.

The truth is that Bill English has done an amazing job to keep NZ afloat. It is time that journalists like Duncan Garner acknowledge that.

NZ could be self-sufficient in petroleum and energy products, and earn a big income from mining, but the Green Party have done everything they can to stifle growth in jobs and export receipts. Even Gareth Morgan is losing patiences with them.

18/06/2012 12:44:32 p.m.

Moera wrote:

No matter what departmental area this govt cuts it will hurt NZders, directly and indirectly. There is no easy solution to the 'global' recession. However, National shouldn't be making cuts to an area that will affect 'our' childrens education and growth and potentially affect the countrys future. I think that by targeting the education system in the manner that they have, among the other issues, National has made a very big error in judgement. Only the polls will show for certain if National's popularity has fallen. As for myself, National never had my vote and never will have my vote and I'm not impressed with the way they handle these issues to date

14/06/2012 1:57:00 p.m.

Ruz wrote:

I think the next set of polls will be interesting, to see if National's fall in popularity is maintained or whether they creep back up. And it's not just about class sizes and Parata's backdown (clearly on instructions from the tight four of Key, Joyce, Englisn & Brownlie). There are plenty of other issues from aaset sales to students loans that are turning people away from National. The glide path to the Government's electoral defeat seems pretty much on track and gives them time to annoy a lot more people than they currently have to date.