National bounces back in poll

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National bounces back in poll

3News NZ

National is on 51.4 percent – that’s up 4 percent

National is on 51.4 percent – that’s up 4 percent

The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Prime Minister John Key has bounced back and, if an election was held today, National could govern alone.

The last poll showed Labour Party leader David Shearer and the left could govern, but Mr Key has seized back the voters he lost as last year went to the pack for him.

National is on 51.4 percent – that’s up 4 percent. That's come off Labour, down two to 32.6 percent. And the Greens are also down two points as well, to 10.8 percent. New Zealand First Party leader Winston Peters is on about 3.4 percent.

Turning now to the minor parties, they are not up to much at all. ACT remain on death watch – only one person out of 1000 is prepared to vote for them. That's better than Hone Harawira and his Mana Party.

In the Parliament, National would have 64 seats – a clear majority, without needing support partners who won electorate seats. Labour, the Greens, and Mr Harawira's electorate seat would only get the left bloc to 56.

In the preferred Prime Minister's stakes, Mr Key is on 41 percent – the same story, a bounce of nearly four points. Mr Shearer is back on 10 percent, and Mr Peters and Green Party co-leader Russel Norman are both well back, but still registering out there.

Mr Key may try to make out it's not, but this poll really is all about him. His performance and National's are intrinsically linked. If he goes up, National goes up, and vice versa.

The majority of the public are clearly not blaming Mr Key for the flat-lining economy and all the job losses out there, which are becoming all too real, or maybe they don't see the Labour-Green bloc as a viable alternative.

Mr Shearer's personal performance has really improved of late, but these numbers will leave the left hurting. Four years on, they still struggle to compete with Brand Key.

And tonight, the Opposition will be left asking themselves: just what do we do about Teflon John?

3 News

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Comments

2/03/2013 2:11:37 p.m.

Just Me wrote:

The one thing we can often be assured of ia political polls can often be incorrect. These sorts of polls are intended to give our self-serving MPs(and this particular government)the illusion they are on the home run with plenty of distance between them and the competition. Once the votes are counted and if in their(this government's favour)then these polls become redundant until next election time. So right now these sorts of polls are just what I call the "trickle" effect.That is through one source of media or another there will be a trickling of 'good news' that this government is doing the right thing wiht the 'overwhelmingly' support of the NZ voters. I can only guess those in the 'overwhelmingly' support of this government lot will be those of the Dipton and Helensville/Kumeu region and therefore ardent National Party supporters no matter what is sold from under their very feet i.e NZ.

2/03/2013 10:53:47 a.m.

Carlos wrote:

The only thing that counts.....National won the 2011 Election. By the time the next one comes around, they should win in some form or another, as sensible people will realise how appalling a labour/greens/mana/nz1st coalition would destroy NZ, and all the wonderful work Key and his team would have achieved especially in difficult circumstances.

2/03/2013 1:37:01 a.m.

vicki wrote:

Only people with landlines do polls and heaps of us poor kiwis only use cells now.

1/03/2013 8:16:33 p.m.

bernard wrote:

i cant think of one reason why tell me anything they have achieved that's why it simply makes no sense . massive unemployment for a start .it simply makes no sense guys pat and Duncan . i guess if you control the media you control the people . and Duncan national will do nothing about the housing issue they don't care mate . they are the land owners after all .

1/03/2013 7:41:24 p.m.

jhon wrote:

what i have noticed is evreytime there is a good poll for labour two days latter they put out a poll from tv one or three saying the opposite . they just add a few extra points to the nats just 3% or so evreytime they do a poll . ant its funny always as i said after good news for labour .hes a hopless pm and government and you cant point to one achievement since they got elected . the ony weapon labour needs is an unbiased mainstrem media pat gower . all they have done is loose jobs .

1/03/2013 8:55:32 a.m.

veda wrote:

The great manipulator is surely becoming a legend in NZ...

26/02/2013 9:20:29 p.m.

Max wrote:

The truth is that most ordinary people (the majority) show scant interest for democracy, politics and economics. The media know this and feed mostly sound bites and silly half info rather than in depth discussion and analysis. Do you agree? Am I correct?

25/02/2013 6:11:04 p.m.

Boyd wrote:

As the 'great' National PM Jim Bolger said "Bugger the pollsters"

25/02/2013 2:38:35 p.m.

alison wrote:

I too would like to see an election right now. If for nothing more than to prove the results are inaccurate. Theres more average kiwis than rich and we all have one vote. Come on Key hold an election now.

25/02/2013 1:01:38 p.m.

len wrote:

all of the Nat's forecasts have gone from positive to negative - the 2010 tax switch revenue collect is in tatters - the surplus for 2014/15 is now just $66m and wont eventuate while the taxpayers are bailing out more white collar criminals with the demise of Mainzeal - good Kiwis are heading for Oz in still larger numbers - the job summit sure impacted on the unemployment numbers with a cycle track - check how much GST you will pay for your upcoming low budget funeral - will your family be able to claim it back?