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National down, opposition up in new poll

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National down, opposition up in new poll

3News NZ

Support for the National Party under John Key dropped to 45.5 per cent (file pic)

Support for the National Party under John Key dropped to 45.5 per cent (file pic)

A new political poll suggests the result of an election held now would be too close to call.

The governing National Party was at 45.5 per cent support in a Roy Morgan Poll taken between June 25 and July 8, down 2 per cent on the last poll taken between June 8 and 24.

The only other parties above the 5 per cent threshold were Labour, up 0.5 per cent to 32.5 per cent, and the Greens, up 1 per cent to 13 per cent.

This put the combined total of Labour and the Greens at 45.5 per cent, the same as National, making it a tight race to decide who had the keys to the Beehive.

NZ First was up 0.5 per cent to 4.5 per cent, the Maori Party was at 1 per cent (down 0.5 per cent), while ACT, United Future and Mana were all unchanged at 0.5 per cent.

Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan confidence rating was unchanged at 117.5, with 51.5 per cent of New Zealanders saying the country was heading in the right direction compared to 34 per cent saying it was heading in the wrong direction.

Economic issues (52 per cent) were regarded as the most important problem facing the country, well ahead of social issues (19 per cent), Government and public policy issues (12 per cent) and environmental issues (6 per cent).

The telephone poll surveyed 1026 people.

NZN

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Comments

16/10/2012 2:12:35 p.m.

kim wrote:

no great surprise there,at this point the muppets could do better job,time for j.k to go anyway

15/07/2012 7:56:30 a.m.

alison wrote:

Anyone know what is happening to the investigation with John Banks and the donations. Surely if he is found guilty or has a case to answer he will have to step down. Why is it taking so long and why have the public not heard anything about it? Who would replace him if anyone and how will this affect the poplitical arena? Come on tv3. Some real answers please

14/07/2012 3:08:24 p.m.

zac wrote:

Hahaha, it's good to see some of the national party spin machines working overtime on here. Very dismissive of the new poll result. You and your leader who is usually poll driven when it suits him must be very nervous. You have every right to be nervous. It's just the beginning of the end for this national lead government.

14/07/2012 10:47:34 a.m.

paulie wrote:

Oh dear another so called 'poll' these things only exist as 'advertisments' for the polling organisations and cheap easy copy for the media. Phone poll limits the samples diversity straight off, sample size and composition not given, are changes of 0.5% even statistically significant. Personally I despise 'smilin john' and his cronies and would love to belive the Teflon is wearing off him but these polls are just meaningless drivel whose accuracy is MORE than suspect, another non-story.

14/07/2012 10:38:56 a.m.

mmm wrote:

"the asset sales are a great idea." And so are pokie machines, and steralising women on the dpb and so on.... if all you are interested in is money.

14/07/2012 9:40:48 a.m.

bukster wrote:

Based on recent polls and election results, Key looked unstoppable. i expected a National government for the rest of the decade the way things were going. How the mighty have fallen. Key might actually be going to lose if he keeps this up. That would have been unthinkable even a few months ago.

14/07/2012 8:22:22 a.m.

ilovejk wrote:

so some native is sitting on the dole for 10 years and key says we need to do something about this... and key has no morals you say? the problem is not jk, its you guys and your poor understanding of economics. the asset sales are a great idea.

14/07/2012 3:25:57 a.m.

alison wrote:

How many workers out there are going to answer the ph when they get home and answer a questionairre. Not many.

14/07/2012 3:00:09 a.m.

irascible wrote:

The realisation that KeY and his cronies are nothing more than asset strippers with not moral compunction, no honesty and no ethical belief apart from self interested selfishness has been a slow one for the NZ voters. The campaign fought by Labour in 2011 election was one that recognised the policy direction of the KeY owned nactional party of asset stripping and flogging the country off to foreign corporates. It was a pity that too many voters were still dazed by the RWC and a belief that the election was a foregone result so why vote? The credible alternative to the criminality that is Nactional & KeY is the only party that did provide a campaign policy that opposed them in 2011 - Labour!!

14/07/2012 12:26:34 a.m.

David wrote:

@Jon the government in power always loses substantial support on election day... because they already look to be struggling it is highy unlikely that the racist redneck National party will get in again. In all seriousness... National has no societal or family values, and of all the political parties... they are morally and ethically bankrupt.