Opinion: Key right to manage a hasty exit

Print

Tue, 21 Aug 2012 5:20p.m.

Duncan says it's clear the Prime Minister is on edge and wants our boys and girls home

Duncan says it's clear the Prime Minister is on edge and wants our boys and girls home

Opinion by Political Editor Duncan Garner

John Key is right not to cut and run from Afghanistan. It would look wimpy and reactive.

Why now? Why not last week? Why not the week before?

We are part of an international collective operating over there whether we like it or not.

Labour sent us there, National is bringing us home. But exits take time.

Shutting down the bases is a big job. It can't happen overnight. It can't happen within weeks. It must happen within an agreed timeframe. Shutting up shop is a big and dangerous job. Logistically alone - there is so much gear and hardware to transport home or dispose of to locals.

But this latest attack has focussed the country's mind and the language of the Prime Minister. It's clear the Prime Minister is on edge and wants our boys and girls home. My sources tell me meetings are going on behind the scenes with ISAF bosses to secure the date. April next year is now looking like the date for a return.

It doesn't mean we won't keep a small number of troops up there in Bamyan. We probably still will.

But my sources tell me we are close to setting that date. It's much sooner than had previously been agreed to.

Labour's position has been all over the show. David Shearer appears to be saying John Key is doing the right thing. Phil Goff says bring them home as soon as possible. Labour needs to get its house in order. Why does Shearer allow Goff to speak on these matters? Who is leading this party?

The Greens say get them home as soon as we can.

On all these fronts I think John Key is actually trying his best. But he can't just pull them out. Not credibly.

We have international agreements and gentlemen's agreements that we have signed up to and shaken on. The next group of troops that goes up there in October will be the last rotation. It will be made up of blokes largely sent up there to pack up the base. That is what's called an orderly withdrawal.

Remember these troops weren't meant to be back until September 2014. But that's all changed.

April 2013 is now the date with the ring around it.

Sure, we won't achieve much more up there. And many question just how much we've achieved anyway. With north-east Bayman province now so insecure and unsafe, the Kiwi troops appear to have a futile mission for the next few months.

Jon Stephenson, a kiwi journalist over there, reliably informs me the reconstruction work has stopped, the locals are not overly happy about that, and our troops are not making the progress the Army PR-machine would have us believe.

So we're transitioning.

We are on the way out.

But running for the exit door won't make anyone safer. It actually puts people in harm's way. There is only one way to exit. That's in a professional manner. We must finish our work. It's scary to think of Afghanistan without the security and presence of the international force - but this is their country.

It is time to hand it back. New Zealand has spent 9 years training the local police force. If they're not ready now, they never will be. Overall, trillions has been spent, thousands of lives lost.

So we must honour our men and women by seeing the job through.

But we must exit soon. The talks are progressing, the date is being set. Key wants us out.

But politicking over it is fruitless and cheap. Our soldiers have done a sterling job - but we have now paid a heavy price. Our troops are coming home soon.

For all Key's talk about not cutting and running - he must drive a hard bargain behind closed doors and get a date as early as possible that our international partners can live with.

Key has this one right - but he must negotiate hard for a hasty exit.

He should be telling ISAF we want out ASAP. We have paid our price, we have nothing more to give or add. Our soldiers must come home - but they must come out properly.

Those who argue they should be withdrawn tomorrow and put on a plane out of there know nothing about war. But still, the Prime Minister owes it to the wider army family to get them home as soon as possible. We must not cut and run - but we must organise a hasty and professional exit - sooner rather than later.

Post a Comment

Before commenting, please take the time to read our moderation guide


(Won't be published)



Comments

24/08/2012 3:26:59 p.m.

Greg wrote:

The Taleban will call it a victory anyway, media fail to report that many of their fighters are not local, lets get real its about local hegemony, its not, its a religious conflict. Sooner there than here, who wants to live under shira law.

24/08/2012 10:28:45 a.m.

Hugh Allan wrote:

Mr Garner Sir: "Key right to manage a hasty exit". Key represents a body of thought that is reactive and advocates appeasement. Key understands more soldiers coming home in body bags translates poorly in votes for National. That is realpolitik. That the New Zealand public is more concerned with jobs, health care, education is a given. We are not a sophisticated nation when it comes to foreign alliances tied historicly, inextricably to the latter. Time lines for 'exit' are a double edged sword. The enemy, whatever morphed grouping of Al Qada, Taliban, 'ISI' equivalents- knows, plans and prepares for retreats. Their commitment is integrally welded to this strategy. Not hasty, fast, quick, pre-arranged,- strategy. From Sun Zsu to Clausewitz destruction of the enemy's means to make war is the end. New Zealand's contribution to the current war on internationally organized religious extremists from medieval minded fundamentalists like the Taliband in Afghanistan to the MB caliphists does need to be re-evaluated. In that I am in agreement with you.

23/08/2012 3:15:17 p.m.

Robert M wrote:

In reality we have made far more effort than was required in Afghanistan, on a stabalisation effort that was really never going to work. The reasons for not pulling out in the next couple of months seem to be to pretend where more on the west and the USA's side than we really are and disguise the Government and Tim Grosser's increasingly close relationship with China, whether thats at all far seeing - and the second reason is to maintain faith with our troops. But surely the reason where fighting is to defend western freedom and the rights of women to an education and a free sex life.

23/08/2012 12:47:43 a.m.

cindy wrote:

and just what do you know about war , just what is your experience ? .

22/08/2012 8:02:57 p.m.

keith wrote:

Chris its refreshing to see that a leader has enough faith in his shadow cabinet to allow these members to express their opinions on there respective portfolios. If your members cant represent themselves you are left with a one trick pony like john Key.

22/08/2012 11:18:34 a.m.

Olly wrote:

"The Greens say get them home as soon as we can." Duncan: "But still, the Prime Minister owes it to the wider army family to get them home as soon as possible." How is your view different than that of the Greens? Who is actually saying we should get the troops on a plane tomorrow?

22/08/2012 8:41:25 a.m.

Gary wrote:

Duncan your article tells us nothing we do not already know! It is very biased towards getting a few brownie points from Mr Key. I do find journalist Jon Stephenson very informative always giving a professional and true account of the situation. Duncan please learn from him as this is just dribble!

22/08/2012 8:16:37 a.m.

Chris wrote:

'Keith' Duncan was correct, Goff and Shearer gave conflicted opinions. Shearer needs to tell his MPs who is the leader. Gooff was turning it into 'politics' the day the soldiers died - disgusting really. Shearer remains weak and and it look's like divisions continue within Labour as they don't communicate with each other. Labour are not happy campers. Shearer will not last- I think the rank and file are tiring of him. Meanwhile Cunliffe plots his revenge. It's great theatre.

22/08/2012 7:53:15 a.m.

aiden wrote:

actually keith Shearer and Goff are not saying the same thing. try to listen. do tell us Duncan why when a family member of the two dead soldiers wrote to the dominion post expressing their support of Key going to spend time with his sone you never ran that story but continue to push NZ's into being against it. because it is what the family members support that matters, not what the public thinks, and you in the media knew from day one that they supported key spending time with his son.

21/08/2012 7:22:21 p.m.

Keith wrote:

Duncan i dont know what inspires you to write such arrant nonsense. Goff would qualify to speak on this issue as he is spokesperson on foreign affairs for labour. To say Goff and Shearer are saying different things is not correct they are both saying that the troops should come home as soon as possible but it must be done in an orderly fashion. With you passing such inane comments its no wonder shearer has a knife in his back.