By Duncan Garner
If you are planning to do up the house or buy a new washing machine, do it now - because John Key has signalled to Parliament that GST is going up.
In his words, it will be a "modest increase", but 15 percent looms likely.
To ease the impact on the poorest, Mr Key promised benefits, super and Working for Families payments would also increase.
The top personal tax rate will also be cut, but he is not saying by how much.
What he is promising is a fair deal with tax cuts for all, not just for those on the top tax rate.
On property, Mr Key says he will be closing the loophole that allows the canny investor to use them to claim tax refunds, but he is not going to introduce a capital gains tax, and there won't be a land tax either.
His speech did not the exact numbers of a budget, but all the politics of one.
The most controversial change in the pipeline is the proposed GST increase. The announcement will be made in the May budget.
"We are acutely aware what a rise could mean for lower income families if not balanced out by compensatory changes elsewhere," says Mr Key.
A change from 12.5 percent to 15 percent will raise about $2 billion in revenue. Mr Key says the compensation will come from tax cuts and increases to benefits, Working For Families payments superannuation.
Mr Key is also promising to reduce taxes across the board. 3 News understands the top rate of tax for those earning over $70,000 will come down from 38c to 33c - and possibly lower.
Loopholes allowing property investors to claim tax refunds will end.
"Income is being derived but no tax is being paid," says Mr Key, "The Government is losing revenue."
But Mr Key has shied away from a potentially unpopular land tax recommended by tax experts.
There will be welfare reform – Mr Key says too many people claim the sickness benefit but aren't sick, and the criteria will be tightened.
His last dig was at Labour's Phil Goff.
"A few weeks ago Phil Goff's plan was to cap the wages of the 16 top public executives in New Zealand - no wonder they are in opposition."
For all that, Mr Key got a standing ovation from his own MPs.
But the details are thin - the numbers are still being crunched – so the May budget will reveal all.
3 News