Poll shows Labour supporters expect Goff to lose

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Mon, 18 Apr 2011 10:31p.m.

78 percent of voters don't believe Phil Goff can win November's election

78 percent of voters don't believe Phil Goff can win November's election

By Elizabeth Puranam

Phil Goff can't seem to put a foot right. The latest 3 News Reid Research poll shows 78 percent of those we asked say Mr Goff cannot win November's election and only 15 percent believe he has a chance.

Fifty-five per cent of those identifying themselves as Labour voters in our poll of 1,000 say Mr Goff can't win the election, 36 percent say they can and ten percent say they didn't know.

It's been a shocking few months for Mr Goff and Labour, and he's blaming the Darren Hughes sexual complaint saga and Damien O'Connor's suggestion the party list is dominated by a gaggle of gays for the bad showing.

"I think if we get the focus back we can win," Mr Goff says. "Being distracted hasn't helped and will show results like you are suggesting."

So we asked should voters should Mr Goff be replaced as leader. Half of them said no, 30 percent said yes, while 13 percent didn't know.

And went asked who should replace Mr Goff, 40 percent didn't know. The the next closest choice was deputy leader Annette King at 14 percent, while Finance spokesman David Cunliffe and Trevor Mallad were equal on twelve per cent.

But arguably doing even worse in the polls is the ACT Party who could scrape together just 1.7 percent.

So far National supporters in Epsom have voted strategically to ensure ACT's survival, but some are sick of him.

National is polling at 57 percent, but that still doesn't seem enough for them to run their own candidate against Mr Hide.

"Our primary vote will be for the party vote," John Key says. "Whatever else happens in Epsom is a matter for the Epsom voters."

So while Mr Hide's still in the game thanks to Mr Key, Mr Goff knows all too well he won't get any of the same special treatment.

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Comments

21 Apr 2011 07:33p.m.

Conney wrote:

Tammy!!! Well said, 100% agreement with ya :)

20 Apr 2011 11:53a.m.

Tammy wrote:

Labour left this country with a surplus in 08. We now, thanks to national and their inability to create the wealth and jobs they assured us that they could, owe many billions, and the first term is not even over yet!!
Those are the facts. If you say different, bring your documentation to the table. Otherwise, we will just assume that you feel you can say anything without having to prove it. Most people are aware that labour left the country in pretty good shape. cullen was a way shrewder money manager than english ever can be. And as I said, if key quits (as he probably will) we will have brownlee as PM.
No thanks, and see you on the hustings.

20 Apr 2011 08:54a.m.

Brent wrote:

Clarke, seems your telling the the story, were did you get your info from as labour did not produce the fiscals for there voters or the incoming government

20 Apr 2011 08:04a.m.

Brad wrote:

Ahhh Clarke, oh how I enjoy reading your Labour propaganda. Lets take a look at some facts then. In the final year of Labours term, the "Cullen" Fund had a NZ$910m deficit, meaning a -6.18% return, treasury showed that the countries financials were $394m in deficit - this after a $3.79b surplus, tax revenue fell by $700m and there was a further $1b added to ACC liability. You want to talk about financial mismanagement? You only need to look at the previous Labour government. Very easy to run surpluses when the global economy is booming, all gets a little tricky when the markets start plunging and Labour just wasnt (and still isnt) up to the job and the NZ public knew it. So Clarke, Labour did not leave the books in "great sound shape". Get your facts straight first son and then we can talk.

19 Apr 2011 10:07p.m.

Clarke wrote:

@Brad you need to stop misinforming people with blatant lies. Labour did not mismanage the economy, infact ACC had about 10 Billion it it when they were done, the Cullen fund is worth close to 20 Billion now, and Kiwisaver has about 30 Billion invested in it. Sounds like the kind of savings National has been going on about, but had not a thing to do with. Labour left the books in great sound shape. The recession was caused by greedy arrogant businessman manipulating stocks and shares which is why the US and other countries had to further regulate the markets. But I have seen you post Brad.. it always about how socialist Labour were.. even though National are no less socialist. you contradict yourself repeatedly with false labels and basless accusations.

19 Apr 2011 09:00p.m.

RobertM wrote:

John and Joseph Kennedy understood one of the key political truths, you have to look good and decisive mannerisms are important. In the debates with Nixon, those listening on radio, dismissed JFK. Those who watched on TV and saw JFK looking tanned and handsome with body language and hand movements, were smitten and voted. Goff looks gormless in every sound bite and dosen't even cut thru on the text.JFK had money, confidence a beautiful wife and other chicks. He was confident and a bit arrogant and it showed. Same with Hawke and Rudd. Goff is a lost soul, half patrician and half prole, he dosen't know who he is and never steps out of line with his advisers. He's hopeless. A foreign affairs house trained poodle, like Gareth Hughes neutered by the Labour old girls.

19 Apr 2011 08:04p.m.

ernie wrote:

nz is booming ,debt well ahead,poverty growing,borrowing more and more, unemployed past half a million, inflation going up, 500,000 kiwi now living overseas.
cost of living going up, car registration up,gst up,
everything up including the creek without a paddle.
3 more years of this and we will lead the world over the cliff. and up in the polls ,sheep who said sheep.
get real you morons.

19 Apr 2011 07:29p.m.

HEALTHY wrote:

were comming to sort this out we want our free and fair elections back and you the brought and paid for media will not be stealing our democracy .with your constant national party brainwashing we love key , we love national . open your dam eyes for once even before the quakes they have ruind the economy , trippled unemployment , spent they money cant return even one surplus . just what are you in the media playing at .they were just wating just one slip up bye lab they were on them like are rash . the media should be held for treason against the people .but the love of money aye ? its going to be put right .

19 Apr 2011 07:24p.m.

DEANNA. wrote:

were comming in to see ya you people are corrupt 90% pro national its time we came and saw you people . your not stealing our democratic elections with your biased polotical reporting . 90% pro national .we not taking it anymore . you people are just brought and paid for sell outs . your corrupt you have become the propoganda arm of the national party . its we sorted this out .

19 Apr 2011 07:18p.m.

Tammy wrote:

@brad, yes there has been a recession, but national has shown a lack of being able to create the jobs they said they would; in fact many hundreds have been laid off. A cycle path for a few jobs big deal. Now a dodgy oil drill risking the entire east coast, for what? We won't see the profits, they will go overseas. You don't seem to know what is going on. They are borrowing around 25-30 mil a WEEK and have been since well before the quake. That is gross fiscal mismanagement in anyone's book, so I say they are over their heads. And who are we in debt to? My bet is China.
@alan, the polls are not constructed and biased.
Yeah right.
There's only one poll that matters. I for one am quite looking forward to it. But in all honesty I think that maybe national is looking for a way out. Anyway key will probably quit in the second term and we'll be left with *shudder* brownlee as PM.
It doesn't bear thinking about.