Actually the polls have been analysed... there are certain factors influencing them that havent influenced them in the past. Hardship... leading those in lower socio economic circumstances to not have access to phonelines.. swaying any result in Nationals favor. Undecideds are being lft out of the results... sometimes as in the recent herald digipoll this can take out 30 percent of the respondents answers. The TV3 results and TVNZ results as well as the Herald Digipollsaye that between 50-53 percent of those who gave a definitive answer said they would vote for National... now when you take out the inelligibles... add in the undecideds... the real number of people supporting National falls to around 38-40 percent.... not enough to get the into power even if ACT hit 5 percent. Which is why National have made the deals they have to not stand in ACT strongholds or United Future strongholds. Also it has been recently discovered that polls like TV3 TVNZ and the Herald Digipoll are not ensuring that respondents are elligible to vote. Hold onto your fantasies people... but as I can see from your comments.. as usual you are deluded... still. Traditionally as well undecideds are generally more infavor of voting for smaller parties, generally to the left. In the last poll we saw that Goffs popularity had increased as had the swing to the left in Auckland. Also in poor homes you nomrally have more than one person elligible to vote in the household and most of them generally vote left... given that when kids from poor familis struggle they normally end up back at home with mum and dad... this directly affects the polling deomgraphic and isnt accounted for... only one answer is given to the surveyor on one persons preference.. so the polsters will ignore a poor house with ten labour voters over a National household that only has two elligible voters in it.
im not suprised after three years of nothing but i love key from the press and attacl the opposition for anything all the time espeshly when they move up any in the polls hit them the hardest then . you basterds .
Most polls are taken from 900-1000 people,so if there are 4 million people the discrepancy in accuracy is tremendous.If it were to follow through to election night for most of nz'ers then that would be a big tick for the nats even though they have screwed the economy,have handed out billions of dollars corruptly,told lies,fudged the truth about policy,always blame the last government for their shortcommings,totaly disregard the fact that labour left a $7billion surplus,acknowledged by JK himself at the beginning of nats govt,JK chases chances of granduer world wide,do we really need to bow and scrape to his ilk anymore,NO we dont, we have an opportunity to say NO to all of the above in this election.