Poll shows National far ahead of Labour
Sun, 21 Aug 2011 6:02p.m.
By Duncan Garner
With just three months until the general election, Prime Minster John Key and the National Party’s lead remains so commanding that a coalition partner to govern would not be needed.
The Labour Party is polling so badly it would lose six MPs but leader Phil Goff is remaining resolute tonight saying "Labour may just surprise you on election night”.
But tonight’s poll shows National would govern alone with 67 seats.
Mr Key says it shows New Zealand has confidence in the way he and his party are running things.
The poll is confirmation Labour's much hyped capital gains tax policy has not had any impact.
There have been reports Mr Goff even offered his resignation to senior MPs recently but he says that is fiction, “that's political spin from National”.
But with 12 weeks until the election, voters appear to have made their minds up and switched off a Labour Party led by Mr Goff.
When asked if he should stand down and let someone else lead, he says there is no question of that.
We also asked how are the leaders performing.
Three in four voters say Mr Key is performing well while 14.5 percent say he is doing a bad job.
Just one in four think Mr Goff is doing a good job, and crucially for the first time, more than one in two voters now think Mr Goff is performing poorly.
This all points to a crushing defeat for Labour on November 26.
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5/09/2011 6:13:55 p.m.
Actually the polls have been analysed... there are certain factors influencing them that havent influenced them in the past.
Hardship... leading those in lower socio economic circumstances to not have access to phonelines.. swaying any result in Nationals favor.
Undecideds are being lft out of the results... sometimes as in the recent herald digipoll this can take out 30 percent of the respondents answers.
The TV3 results and TVNZ results as well as the Herald Digipollsaye that between 50-53 percent of those who gave a definitive answer said they would vote for National... now when you take out the inelligibles... add in the undecideds... the real number of people supporting National falls to around 38-40 percent.... not enough to get the into power even if ACT hit 5 percent.
Which is why National have made the deals they have to not stand in ACT strongholds or United Future strongholds.
Also it has been recently discovered that polls like TV3 TVNZ and the Herald Digipoll are not ensuring that respondents are elligible to vote.
Hold onto your fantasies people... but as I can see from your comments.. as usual you are deluded... still.
Traditionally as well undecideds are generally more infavor of voting for smaller parties, generally to the left.
In the last poll we saw that Goffs popularity had increased as had the swing to the left in Auckland.
Also in poor homes you nomrally have more than one person elligible to vote in the household and most of them generally vote left... given that when kids from poor familis struggle they normally end up back at home with mum and dad... this directly affects the polling deomgraphic and isnt accounted for... only one answer is given to the surveyor on one persons preference.. so the polsters will ignore a poor house with ten labour voters over a National household that only has two elligible voters in it.
4/09/2011 8:23:48 p.m.
im not suprised after three years of nothing but i love key from the press and attacl the opposition for anything all the time espeshly when they move up any in the polls hit them the hardest then . you basterds .
28/08/2011 5:18:25 p.m.
Most polls are taken from 900-1000 people,so if there are 4 million people the discrepancy in accuracy is tremendous.If it were to follow through to election night for most of nz'ers then that would be a big tick for the nats even though they have screwed the economy,have handed out billions of dollars corruptly,told lies,fudged the truth about policy,always blame the last government for their shortcommings,totaly disregard the fact that labour left a $7billion surplus,acknowledged by JK himself at the beginning of nats govt,JK chases chances of granduer world wide,do we really need to bow and scrape to his ilk anymore,NO we dont, we have an opportunity to say NO to all of the above in this election.
25/08/2011 5:43:30 a.m.
TV3 please mention whom conducted the survey as it is highly misleading and biased in favour of the right. Don't tell me it was Duncan Garner!
24/08/2011 1:01:49 p.m.
Miss Molly wrote:
That's funny. I'm very puzzled. Absolutely everyone I know is voting Labour or the greens and think National are doing a terrible job. How do these polls operate?
24/08/2011 1:18:45 a.m.
Best we let the Nats and their intellectually-challenged supporters have their moment - after all, I remember very well a time when the National Party was in dire straits and polling noticeably worse than what Labour is now. And it won't be long until the National Party runs the country into the ground again - in fact, they're doing a very fine job of it already. It's just a matter of time. Mouthguard, go and play with the other children.
23/08/2011 11:43:47 p.m.
Are you kidding??? The students don't like National party, ordinal people don't Key, Youth don't like Key and Polar and their party, many people don't like them. I don't like their party and their policy. So, I don't trust your poll and where do you get and who vote that poll and how???????? I don't think that is correct information...........
23/08/2011 11:16:05 a.m.
Maybe gotta say it again. It is a simple fact that Labour is polling just about where it should be. Labour has no appeal because it is now irrelevant. Nobody is really interested in their policies or would consider them capable of running the country. Pure and simple. The few flakies who are screaming conspiracy are just those who are unaware the simple fact that NZ doesn't need Labour any more. A few very conservative union types who feel threatened by the change and a few more who have 'social causes' to rant about. And please don't blame Phil- he's doing his best to rally a team which has no real reason to exist. Oh, and the Greens.. still irrelevant, except they constitute the guilt vote for those who vote mainstream on the electorate vote but use the Party vote to feel like they are doing something (whatever) for the environment. If the Greens had some decent, rational policies that wouldn't bankrupt the country, then Labour would truly disappear and you'd have the Nats and the Greens as the major Parties. Not a bad situation aye?
23/08/2011 6:09:46 a.m.
Mr.Key is a dreamer keep on dreaming Mr.Key, dream on buddie, this country is in a total mess since the dreamer exposed himself.. get real and give the people in this country a bloody break.. Time for you to resign..
22/08/2011 9:53:45 p.m.
It turns out if you want to be a popular Prime Minister you get in just after a recession and when the recovery of the economy begins. Also grab as many photo oppourtunities as possible and make decisions that will screw over the country in 10-15 years but popular now.
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