Poll shows possible change of Govt
Sun, 02 Dec 2012 6:00p.m.
By Patrick Gower
The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows that if an election was held today there could be a change of government.
Labour Party leader David Shearer has been facing nothing but trouble and strife, and it’s all come from the home front – a direct and dangerous threat to Labour's number one job.
It left Mr Shearer having to remind himself, and everyone else, what his job is.
“I will be leader in 2014 – read my lips,” he said. “I will be the leader of the Labour Party. Nothing is going to change.”
It’s had some effect. Labour is up 1.6 points, and Mr Shearer up just over 4 percent as preferred Prime Minister.
“I think the Government is too much hands off the wheel,” Mr Shearer said today. “They want a government that is hands on.”
Prime Minister John Key has been away from home hanging out with successful types, in a happy pink shirt in Burma.
But the National Party is down almost 2 points, and as preferred Prime Minister Mr Key drops to 37.4 percent – his lowest point ever since becoming National leader in 2006.
“As Prime Minister you've got to make some tough decisions,” said Mr Key. “And that has an implication on people. I understand that completely.”
If this was the result on election night, there could be change of Government.
The Maori Party are key. They would hold the balance of power.
“It’s going to be a very tight race in 2014,” said Mr Key. “And I think what really New Zealanders are going to have to think about when they go into that election is: do they really want Labour and the Greens and New Zealand First?”
“We believe in another two years we'll be well and truly over that threshold,” said Mr Shearer. “But right now the trend is looking good.”
3 News also asked how the leaders are performing. Fewer people think Mr Key is doing a good job – 51.9 percent, which is a drop of 3.1 pecent. But slightly less people also think he's doing poorly – down a point to 29.4 percent.
Less people think Mr Shearer is doing well. That's down to 31.6 percent. And more people think Mr Shearer's doing a poor job, at 34.4 percent – that's a 2.9 percent rise.
So the shine on National and Mr Key continues to dull after its off-colour year, with a gloomy economic outlook.
And while Labour hogged the headlines, for many of the wrong reasons, it did remind people that a guy called Mr Shearer is hanging in there.
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2/01/2013 4:00:22 p.m.
Cut the crabs all we need is a new LEADER' or a new Prime Minister, no need to waste anymore of our taxpayers money for repeating yourselves over over again over the same issue ' the people of New Zealand need a NEW LEADER or a NEW PRIME MINISTER, full stopped.
2/12/2012 11:52:53 p.m.
Te Rina wrote:
Good about time that smug out of touch git we call our primeminister was kicked out of parliment. He cares nothing about New Zealanders all he cares about shock horror surprise is making money for the rich in New Zealand
2/12/2012 11:45:02 p.m.
Haha, Kathy just hold the phone for one minute.. There are still many many people who can not imagine the sheer horror of a Labour/ Greens govt. I fear if that came to fruition, we would quickly become a laughing stock among our fellow nations, not for left-wing policy but because of the sheer incompetence of the labour/ greens leadership.
2/12/2012 11:42:12 p.m.
What a waste of time these polls are. A week is a long time in politics and there is a long time to the next election. It doesn't matter squat what the media try to beat up.
2/12/2012 11:34:19 p.m.
just think i beleave had the media not attacked labour in such an obvious biased manner labour would be on 40% and the nats down to 40% just look at it they are in denyale and say no all is going great . their mates in talk back radio have their tory mates in business call their showa and lie saying they have tons jobs going . akk the bs and proboganda simply does not add up against 8% unemployment , we continue to run up the debt for tax cuts for the elite wealthy who are hording the momey away and not creating jobs , and we are going deeper and deeper in the hole to give those rich bludgers free money . its wrong either way . im tired of john keys socialisim and redistribution of wealth to the top 1%ters .america just rejected that bs once again
top down economics does not work president obama said .it causes depressions if allowed to continue ask president hoover lol . we are sliding back into the days of charles dickens under this key does he recall his name ? government .they are all lairs key the compulsive and paula b just like her boss cought out again obviosly exagerating data she is a lair like keymichael and thinks she is above the law. we have gone from 8 surpluses in a row under michael cullen to zero surpluses and nothing but deficits under the nationals hopeless , economic losers yeah thats right national are economic losers !!!.
2/12/2012 11:21:17 p.m.
Please explain why the Conservatives are included in this poll yet no other minor parties which are not in parliament are?
2/12/2012 9:39:47 p.m.
"Possible" change of government? How about "probable" change of government? After Nationals (and Key/English in particular) performance these last few years, who in their right mind would support furthering the destruction of our country? Only the rich... and there's not enough of them.
2/12/2012 9:28:25 p.m.
JK has already been asked directly about that and said the rumours are not true and the Labour Party are circulating these rumours...
2/12/2012 9:14:39 p.m.
no doubt the biased as said by an independant report the other day media will be puting a stop to this poll rise for labour . nz dont worry about that . actualy despite what our biased media spun at you the labour leader was vary tough and decisive over the leadership . and the idea of giving the party members a say in the party leadeship looks like democracy . in the united states and in the uk the party mebership have a vote on their partys leaders . national when they attacked labour on this looked like democracy haters and their allies also in the media the same . labour looked democratic and the nationals looked like anti democratic militants and dictators . pat the media is flogging a dead horse on that one stop digging .
2/12/2012 8:53:05 p.m.
It's too early to talk about a change of Government. The next election isn't till 2014 and anything can happen between now and then. The fall in popularity of National is part of the cycle which by rights should see it elected out of office in 2017. I expect that Nataional will be looking to see how it can boost the fortunes of the Conservatiev Party since any chance of ACT or United Future getting back into Parliament in 2014 looks slim.
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