Risk of Afghan civil war after withdrawal
Fri, 24 Aug 2012 8:11a.m.
By 3 News online staff
New Zealand troops have been stationed in Afghanistan since 2001, as part of a global anti-terrorism response to the September 11 attacks.
We've lost 10 soldiers to the war, and with the arrival home of the bodies of the latest three victims questions are being fired at the Government as to why we can't get out now.
Former US military adviser David Kilcullen believes withdrawing troops from the country could cause more problems - saying when Western forces leave Afghanistan, he expects fighting will continue along an ethnic divide, with the possibility of a civil war breaking out.
“People are positioning themselves now and unfortunately one of the things that some people are worried about is that they’ve been too close to the coalition troops or too close to the international community and that they’re going to be targeted after we leave, and so people are trying to distance themselves now,” he told Firstline this morning.
Mr Kilcullen believes Afghanistan’s political past may hold some clues to what happens when coalition troops withdraw.
“When the Russians left they actually left a very strong local Government in charge, which in fact outlived the Soviet Union, it was rather a military success although not a political one for the Russians, but if you look at the way that that Government survived, it did so by making a whole lot of local deals with groups that had been previously fighting it, including the mujahideen and I think that is quite likely to be what we see after 2014.”
Mr Kilcullen believes violence will also slowly shift toward Pakistan, and that country will be the next international problem.
Post a Comment
Before commenting, please take the time to read our moderation guide
(Won't be published)
24/08/2012 12:29:43 p.m.
it is inevitable that civil war will occur no matter when we leave as the current administration is totally corrupt and are an invitation to the Teleban to take over.
Afghan has been a basket case for hundreds of years.
24/08/2012 10:49:04 a.m.
The question is: In this last 10 years of war against the Taliban in Afghanistan have they fix their internal problems? Has the Taliban quit internal and external terrorism? Is Afghanistan a better country? Is now the world a safer place? NO! This war was started by the americans and they should be staying there and spending their lives and money helping the afghans. But if i had my way i would pull out and let them resolve their own problems. Afghanistan is a lost cause! Thanks, and my respects again to all the soldiers that gave their lives there!
24/08/2012 10:27:12 a.m.
Its not a risk its a certainty.All the troops from NZ, UK, USA etc.Should pull out now and let them sort it out,as they will eventually.
A Kiwi priest who struggled against apartheid says when it's time for Nelson Man...
After weeks of sometimes violent confrontation with police, protesters in Turkey...
A man described as a "lava art craft worker" doesn't seem to break a sweat as he...
President Barack Obama, Russian President Vladimir Putin and other G-8 leaders t...
Jurors in Mark Lundy's 2002 double-murder trial were misled about the reliabilit...
Copyright © 2013 MediaWorks TV. All Rights Reserved.