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Standard and Poors downgrades New Zealand

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Fri, 30 Sep 2011 2:04p.m.

Finance Minister Bill English said he was not expecting the credit downgrades

Finance Minister Bill English said he was not expecting the credit downgrades

By 3news.co.nz staff

A second ratings agency has downgraded New Zealand’s credit rating following the decision by Fitch to move the country from a AA+ to AA.

This afternoon Standard and Poors downgraded New Zealand's long-term foreign currency ratings from AA+ to AA and its long-term local currency rating on New Zealand to AA+ from 'AAA.

The short-term ratings are affirmed at 'A-1+' and the outlook on the foreign and local currency ratings stable.

Finance Minister Bill English has called a news conference at 3pm to talk about the downgrades. 3news.co.nz will live stream Mr English's news conference.

Earlier today Fitch said New Zealand's high level of external debt is a key vulnerability which is likely to persist.

The debt reflects a saving and investment imbalance.

"Nonetheless, New Zealand remains well placed among the world's highly-rated sovereign credits, with its creditworthiness supported by moderate public indebtedness, fiscal prudence, and strong public institutions," Fitch says.

The New Zealand dollar dropped about 1 cent to US76.96 cents following the announcement.

Finance Minister Bill English says credit rating agencies are "more sensitive" because of global circumstances.

"New Zealand is less vulnerable than it was back in 2008 ironically when our credit rating was higher," he told TVNZ.

Banks are in better shape, government finances are on track to surplus and households are saving more and taking on less debt, Mr English says.

Standard and Poor's and Moody's will look at New Zealand with the same kind of view as Fitch, he says.

A downgrade has “been on the cards for some years”, 3 News business editor Michael Wilson told Firstline this morning, and has been triggered by recently released balance of payments figures which show our deficit increased by half a billion dollars in the last quarter.  

“We’ve already got massive debt – our total debt is about 83 percent of GDP, which is way up there compared to many countries.”

The downgrade's effect on the dollar however will be a boon for exporters.

“Our balance of payments situation can right itself with a lower value dollar… it’ll improve our export situation to some degree,” says Mr Wilson.

Labour leader Phil Goff says the downgrade is proof on the Government's economic mismanagement.

"The downgrade is a clear judgment of National's failure to get the economy growing and to deal with New Zealand's long term problems".

Mr Goff said it showed why Labour's plan to introduce a capital gains tax to redirect investment into the productive economy and pay back debt without selling assets was so important.

NZN / 3 News

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Comments

06 Oct 2011 07:21p.m.

William wrote:

Time to Face facts.Fitch and Standard & Poors downgrade of our credit rating to AA has as its basis an overseas debt of $253.9 billion or 83% of our GDP of which $56 Billion inclusive of $16 billion p.a. for tax cuts. Private Sector borrowings in this amount can be attributed in great part to this governments increase of GST to 15% , increase of ACC levies,increase in motor vehicle registration costs, imposition of emissions trading,ACC, Road User and GST charges onto the cost of petrol,diesel and lpg and lowering of wages to third world levels all in a time of Recession The effects of these policies have been an increase in the cost of living of 5.7%,an unemployment rate of 7% and growing,an increase in wages of 0.1%, household endebtedness of 150% of GDP,64% of qualified persons intending to leave New Zealand permanently, and a 6% decline in peoples saving and spending capacity. The other consequence of this is that it has marginalised New Zealand businesses a fact that is evidenced in the overseas debt figures and in the fact that GDP growth over the last quarter was less than 0.1%. Add to this mix an increase in power prices due to the governments proposed fire sale of our power companies and you have a recipe for National Bankruptcy. Yes things are much worse than Fitch,Standard & Poors or Bill English are postulating all due to this governments mismanagement of the economy in a time of recession. The facts speak for themselves.

30 Sep 2011 05:34p.m.

katrina wrote:

Chris of course he didn't. It is a Labour election campaign to only focus on the negative regarding National. We are still doing well compared to a lot of other countries who are suffering badly with corruption, unemployment and facing bankruptcy

30 Sep 2011 03:11p.m.

Tickled wrote:

"Bill English says credit rating agencies are "more sensitive" because of global circumstances" "more sensitive" - you could have hit the agencies over the head with a brick and they wouldn't have noticed. Now they have to downgrade or loose all credibility.

30 Sep 2011 03:11p.m.

Chris wrote:


Mr Goff failed to mention this.

"Nonetheless, New Zealand remains well placed among the world's highly-rated sovereign credits, with its creditworthiness supported by moderate public indebtedness, fiscal prudence, and strong public institutions," Fitch says".

30 Sep 2011 03:10p.m.

Geoff wrote:

Standard & Poors. The same rating agency that gave Lehman Brothers a AAA rating 2 weeks before they went bankrupt. S&P hold no credibility whatsoever. I can't believe NZ is reacting to an entity that is no more than a joke.