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UN admits factual meltdown over glacier prediction

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Himalayan glaciers

Himalayan glaciers

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Tue, 19 Jan 2010 5:22p.m.

By Jane Luscombe

Dire warnings that climate change will make Himalayan glaciers disappear within 25 years are now sounding like an embarrassing meltdown by United Nations scientists.

They have admitted it will take hundreds of years to destroy the glaciers and the mistake is being blamed on a simple typing error and Chinese whispers.

The panel had said that Himalayan glaciers could vanish in 25 years - now it's being forced to re-examine its own findings and is likely to retract the claim.

Scientist and climate change skeptic Gerrit van der Lingen says the oversight has had global consequences.

“They have put something in their report which is used by many governments around the world as being the true state of science. It's not,” he says.

The problem is partly down to Chinese whispers. Way back in 1996 UNESCO produced a report predicting that glaciers would shrink catastrophically by 2350.

Somewhere along the way someone picked up that figure and mistakenly read it as 2035 – 300 years sooner.

The figure then popped up in a news story eight years ago, quoting a little-known Indian scientist.

It is that article, rather than a proper scientific study, that seems to have been taken as fact by the UN panel.

Mr Vanderlingen says the article is “not solid science at all”.

While it is an embarrassing mistake for the climate change panel, Kiwi scientist Andrew Mackintosh says it doesn't change the fact that glaciers are melting and we should be alarmed.

“This is the only error of its type in a report that has 100s of authors, 100s of pages,” he says.

He says the retreat of the Himalayan glaciers is happening and is echoed here: Tasman Glacier has shrunk by a third in 100 years.

Climate change supporters are now scrabbling to regain the public's confidence. In their favour, they are the ones who discovered and revealed the mistake and say they are doing all they can to correct it.

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Comments [7]

Glenn
30 Jan 2010 3:29a.m.

I felt sick when TV3 blindly promoted Al Gore's career back in Jul 2009. Its as though New Zealand has a nice big green blind fold on and is now meandering around in the dark like clueless hippies on psychedelic drugs. Get a clue TV3 Al Gore's film "An Inconvenient Truth" received heavy scientific criticism and even went to the high court in the UK over it been shown to school children. Almost every point in Al Gores's propaganda film was over stated lies, even the UN's mighty IPCC (intergovernmental Panel Of Climate Change)reports completely disagree with the facts in Al Gore's film(of course they gladly took the publicity). TV3 has played the role of sucker to such an amazing degree I think they have lost all creditability and appears to cowedly to do some real journalism. Get sum courage TV3

Fitzy
26 Jan 2010 11:05p.m.

Well TV3, Late to the table but at least you showed up. Actually the details of the Glacier Fraud are rich, detailed and much more newsworthy than the topless sun bathing story Campbell ran. The involvement of the WWF, thats World Wild Life Fund - just for the TV 3 reporters, makes this a very worthy news peice. Consider the implications, of an un peer reviewed "Grey" paper, being reported in New Scientist, imagine a WWF staffer promoting it to the IPCC, then conclude this thought experiment with the IPCC, including it in AR4. Kinda takes your breath away, Trillions of dollars about to be destroyed in the green wash that is AGW, in part fueled by junk science promoted by an environmental lobby...far more compelling, that a mere typo and chinese whispers. Wakey wakey TV3, you're sitting on a journalistic gold mine, the longer you play Green advocate the more likey its gonna turn into a land mine.

Jim
22 Jan 2010 4:30p.m.

V
Good speech by that person and I agree with your Pachauri comment also!!!

V
22 Jan 2010 8:05a.m.

Call for Dr. Pachauri’s to resign, NOT newsy enough TV3.

V
22 Jan 2010 7:56a.m.

It gets even better than that New Zealand's role in the AGW scam is reviled in the EU kangaroo court http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/01/21/eu-mps-get-the-message/#more-15473. Maybe NIWA should take the world to court!.

V
20 Jan 2010 8:46p.m.

Yes only after they were caught using this information to get personal funding, None other then the IPCC chairman himself! Talk about fraud!.

Jim
20 Jan 2010 1:07p.m.

Oversight my a**. The Climate change supporters (con-artists) will have to re-group and come up with another tale to suck people in with.
I wonder if the comment on the Tasman Glacier is because of human industry. Yep I believe the bullocks (bollocks) caused it and the 6 trains we had running around the Southern Alps (or was that Auckland to Wellington)?!!!

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